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| Driving Forces of Land-Use Change |
This paper presents a multi-sectoral overview of the key driving forces of land-use change.
As part of the design phase for a new land-use model for the Netherlands Environmental
Assessment Agency, an overview was made of spatial processes and policies affecting land
use. The overview was based on five sector-specific research efforts into the driving forces of
land-use change, for each of the five largest land-occupying sectors (housing, employment,
nature, water, and agriculture). Each research effort had a similar set-up and consisted of a
leading expert, responsible for preparing a note on driving forces for a particular sector, and
the input from leading experts, using workshops to collect views and insights from the field.
In addition to the five largest land-using sectors, the research focused on the themes transport,
energy, and recreation, which are related to nearly al other sectors as they have a large
influence on spatial developments and evaluation indicators.
Paper prepared for the 49th ERSA conference August 2009 in Lodz, Poland. |
Zondag, B.; Borsboom, J., August 2009
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| Planning Support Systems: Best Practices and New Methods |
This book is about a particular set of geo-information technologies known as Planning Support Systems (PSS). It focuses on the adoption and application of PSS in practice. It aims to illustrate best practice and to demonstrate new methods that are being developed for creating the next generation of PSS for use in various public or private sector planning contexts. The book serves as a medium for the exchange of knowledge, insights and experiences, thereby preventing those working in this field from having to ‘reinvent the wheel’. It also serves to communicate details about PSS methodology and management to those less informed about contemporary developments.
Series: GeoJournal Library , Vol. 95, 2009, XXII, 490 p.,ISBN: 978-1-4020-8951-0. Springer |
Geertman, S; Stillwell, J (Eds.) , 2009
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| 3D visualisations in simulations of future land use: exploring the possibilities of new, standard visualisation tools |
Three-dimensional (3D) visualisations are an interesting method for representing model outcomes. Most visualisation techniques require expensive software and a lot of time to create them. When the visualisations need to be adapted frequently, a faster and more flexible method is needed. The first step of the proposed model is to create the 3D elements. These elements are combined with the base map, and distributed to the public using Google Earth. Both freely available and commercial software are used in this process. International Journal of Digital Earth, Volume 1, Issue 1 January 2008 , pages 148 - 154 . |
Rodrguez Lloret, J.; Omtzigt, N; Koomen, E.; de Blois, F.S., January 2008
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| The Netherlands climate proof; what will the country look like in 2040? |
A maritime island? Dikes 25 metres high, floating houses. How can we make sure the Netherlands is still habitable when looking at the predicted climate changes? Where will we be able to live and work? Which measures do we need
to take? The Climate changes spatial planning programme encompasses several institutions that are researching climate change and its effects regarding the use of land in the Netherlands.
Geoinformatics, 11 (5), pp.26-27, 2008.
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Koomen, E.; van der Hoeven, E.M.M.M., 2008
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| Calibrating and validating the Land Use Scanner algorithms |
The Land Use Scanner is a spatial model that simulates future land use. Since its development in 1997 it has been applied in many policy-related land use projects. In 2005 a completely revised version became available. In this version land use can be modelled at a more detailed 100 meter resolution as opposed to the original 500 meter resolution. Furthermore the new version offers the possibility to model homogenous cells that offer a discrete description of land use, in stead of the original continuous description that listed the fraction claimed by different types of land use in each cell. In this paper we describe the calibration and validation of the two modelling approaches available in the Land Use Scanner model. We used multinomial logistic regression methods to obtain the suitability values for the different land-use types. The resulting simulations are then compared to the observed land use in the base year (calibration)
and a future year (validation).
Paper presented at the 15TH European Colloquium on Theoretical and Quantitative Geography, ECTQG 2007, Montreux, Switzerland, 7-11 September, 2007. |
Loonen, W.; Koomen, E.; Kuijpers-Linde, M, September 2007
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| Modelling Land-Use Change. Progress and Applications |
Land-use change simulation modelling is a relatively new and dynamic field of study and this book provides a full overview of the topic, a wide range of applications (both geographically and thematically), a mix of theory and practice, a synthesis of recent research progress, and educational material for students and teachers.
Series: GeoJournal Library, Vol. 90, 2007, XVII, 410 p. ISBN: 978-1-4020-5647-5. Springer |
Koomen, E.; Stillwell, J.; Bakema, A.; Scholten, H.J. (Eds.), August 2007
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| Linking land use modelling and 3D visualisation: a mission impossible? |
| Additional to the traditional land use maps 3D visualisation could provide valuable information for applications in the field of spatial planning, related to ecological and agricultural policy issues. Maps of future land use do not always reveal the appearance of the physical environment (the perceived landscape) as a result of land use changes. 3D visualisations might shed light on other aspects of changed land use, f.i. differences in height or densities of new volume objects.
In: J. van Leeuwen en H. Timmermans (eds.) (2006) Innovations in Design and Decision Support Systems in Architecture and Urban Planning; congres proceedings, July 4-7 2006. |
Borsboom-Van Beurden, J.A.M., R.J.A.. van Lammeren, A.A. Bouwman, July 4, 2006, 2.3 Mb PDF
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| The Map Comparison Kit |
| This article addresses the quantification of map similarities and dissimilarities using the MAP COMPARISON KIT (MCK) software. |
H. Visser and T. de Nijs, July 2006
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| Validation of land use change models; a case study on the Environment Explorer |
| In this thesis a guideline for operational validation of land use models is proposed. A goodness of fit measure as well as a measure for patterns and complexity was applied on the case study model, the Environment Explorer. WUR, Centre for Geo-information, thesis report GIRS-2006-03 |
Vliet, J. van, February 2006, 4.5 Mb PDF
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| Measuring Performance of Land Use Models
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| The automated calibration and validation of integrated land use models requires objective quantification of model performance at different levels of abstraction. This paper puts forward a calibration and validation routine and specifically focuses on the procedures for evaluating the model output. It is found that although a fully objective procedure is not yet available, a major part of the analytical tasks can be automated. |
Hagen-Zanker, A. et al, 2005, September 2005
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| Linking models in land use simulation: Application of the Land Use Scanner to changes in agricultural area |
| Kuhlman, T., A. Tabeau, A. Gaaff, F. van Tongeren & J.E.C. Dekkers, paper for the 45th congress of the European Regional Science Association, Amsterdam, the Netherlands, August 23-27, 2005. |
LEI, August 2005, 0.5 Mb PDF
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| Constructing land-use maps of the Netherlands in 2030 |
| The objective of the study presented here was how to create spatially detailed land-use maps of the in 2030 using the Environment Explorer, a Cellular Automata-based land-use model to construct land-use maps from four scenarios. One of these is discussed in great detail to show how the maps were constructed from the various scenario elements, story lines and additional data and assumptions on national, regional and local land-use developments. |
MNP, December 23, 2004
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| Evaluating future urbanisation patterns in the Netherlands |
| In the Netherlands major changes are expected to take place in (agricultural) land use. This study focuses on the expected spatial developments and simulates posssible future urbanisation patterns by using an economics bases land use model (Land use scanner). |
VU, RPB, December 20, 2004, 0.77 Mb PDF
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| The MAP COMPARISON KIT: methods, software and applications |
| Comparing maps is an important issue in environmental research. Reasons for comparing maps may be: (i) the different socio-economic scenarios on which they are based, (ii) detection of temporal changes, (iii) calibration/validation of land-use models, (iv) hot-spot detection, (v) their use in uncertainty analysis, and (vi) their origin in different methodologies/models. This report addresses the problem of quantifying subsequent map similarities and dissimilarities.Our main focus is on maps denoted as 'categorical' or 'nominal'. A number of the five map- comparison techniques are described. These techniques differ in mathematical approach (no math, 'cell by cell', two types of 'fuzzy' and 'single-map statistics') and apply to different types of maps (nominal, ordinal, ratio and interval scale). Special attention is given to the comparison of maps through fuzzy-set calculation rules. The rationale is that fuzzy-set map comparison is very close to human judgement, as shown in an Internet experiment.The MAP COMPARISON KIT (MCK) software plays a major role in the report. MCK, a software package for 'state-of-the-art' map comparison, contains all the examples used in this report. The software, developed by order of the Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, was fully designed by the Research Institute for Knowledge Systems. The software will be made publicly available on the RIVM website early 2004 (www.rivm.nl). |
MNP-RIVM, 2004, 5.3 Mb PDF
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| Environment Explorer: Spatial Support system for Integrated Assessment of Socio-economic and Environmental Policies in the Netherlands |
Environment Explorer is a system developed to support spatial scientists, planners and decision makers at the regional and national levels in the Netherlands to help them analyse a wide range of social, economic and environmental policies and their associated temporal and spatial dynamics. The core of this system consists of linked dynamic spatial models operating at both the macro- and the micro-geographical scales. At the macro scale, the modelling framework integrates several component sub models, representing the natural, social, and economic sub-systems. At the micro level, cellular automata based models determine the fate of individual parcels of land, based on institutional, physical and environmental factors as well as on the type of activities in their immediate neighbourhoods. The approach chosen enables the straightforward integration of detailed physical, environmental, and institutional characteristics as well as the particulars of the transportation infrastructure, and permits a very detailed representation of the evolving spatial system. As part of the policy support system, the models are supplemented with dedicated tools for interactive design, analysis and evaluation of the policy interventions and scenarios to be tried out. The system covers the entire territory of the Netherlands and represents processes at the national, the regional (40 economic regions), and the cellular (25 ha cells) levels. It runs on top of detailed GIS information and generates future land use and land cover for the period 2000 till 2030. The quality of the policies tried out is expressed in some 40 economic, social and environmental indicators available in the model as dynamic maps. The application has been developed over the past 5 years. It has been used at the national and the provincial level for the preparation of spatial policy documents. Some conclusions relative to the development and the use of the system are presented. |
RIKS, 2003
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| Rural land use dynamics |
| Koomen, E., J. Groen, J. Borsboom-van Beurden & T. Kuhlman, Rural Land use dynamics. In: M. Dijst, P. Schot & K. de Jong (eds.) Reviewed abstracts of the Framing Land Use Dynamics conference, Utrecht 16-18 april 2003. |
UU, 2003, 0.07 Mb PDF
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| Simulating agricultural land use change in the Netherlands |
| Kuhlman, T., E. Koomen, J. Groen, A. Bouwman, Simulating agricultural land use change in the Netherlands, paper presented at the international workshop \"Transition in agriculture and future land use patterns\" december 1-3, 2003 Wageningen, the Netherlands. |
LEI, 2003
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| Simulation of future land use for water management |
| Dekkers, J.E.C., E. Koomen, N. Vlaanderen, I. Peereboom, Simulation of future land use for water management. In: M. Dijst, P. Schot & K. de Jong (eds.) Reviewed abstracts of the Framing Land Use Dynamics conference, Utrecht 16-18 april 2003. |
UU, 2003, 0.1 Mb PDF
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| Economic theory and Land Use modelling |
| Koomen, E. & J. Buurman (2002) In: Papers of 5th AGILE Conference on Geographic Information Science, Palma Balearic Islands Spain. Comparison of the land prices in the Land Use Scanner model with real world land prices. |
VU, 2002
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| Modelling the fragmentation of open space |
| A framework for assessing the impact of land use change on open space. Koomen, E., J. Groen, J. Borsboom & H.J. Scholten (2002), paper for the 42nd congress of the European Regional Science Association, Dortmund Germany. This paper describes the outline and first ideas of the ongoing research. |
VU, 2002
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| A national planning application of Euroscanner in the Netherlands |
| Schotten, C.G.J. & C. Heunks (2001), In: Stillwell, J.C.H. & H.J. Scholten (eds.), Land use simulation for Europe: 245-256, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht. |
2001, Book can be ordered through the publisher.
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| A regional Planning Application of EuroScanner in Portugal |
| Wagtendonk, A.J., R. P. Julião, C,G.J. Schotten (2001), in: J. Stillwell, H.J. Scholten (eds.), Simulating Land use simulation for Europe: 257-289, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht. |
2001, Book can be ordered through the publisher.
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| EuroScanner: A Simulation Model for Land Use Change in Europe |
| Rietveld, P., H.J. Scholten & J.C.H. Stillwell (2001), In: Stillwell, J.C.H. & H.J. Scholten (eds.), Land use simulation for Europe: 235-244, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht. |
2001, Book can be ordered through the publisher.
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| Residential construction, land use and the environment |
| Simulations for The Netherlands using a GIS-based land use model Schotten, C.G.J., R. Goetgeluk, M. Hilferink, P. Rietveld & H.J. Scholten (2001), Environmental modeling and assessment 6: 133-143. Describes the simulation of future land use and its possible environmental impact in a reference study for policy development. |
MNP-RIVM, 2001
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| Simulating Europe in the 21th century |
| Schotten, C.G.J., C. Heunks, A.J. Wagtendonk, J.J.G. Buurman, C.J. de Zeeuw, H. Kramer & W.T. Boersma (2001), NRSP-2 report 00-22, BCRS, Delft |
MNP-RIVM
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| Spatial Information Infrastructure for Scenario Planning, The Development of a Land Use Planner for Holland |
| Scholten, H.J., R. van de Velde, P. Rietveld & M. Hilferink (1999), In: Stillwell, J., S. Geertman, S. Openshaw (eds.), Geographical Information and Planning: 112-134, Springer-Verlag, Berlin |
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